From Drought to Record Rains: Grain Industry Overhauls Crop Estimates After Massive Yield Swings

Farmers Magazine | 10.02.2026 18:14
The past two production seasons exposed the volatility of modern grain farming in South Africa. One season brought a severe mid summer drought, while the next delivered excessive rainfall during critical growth stages. These extremes led to major differences between early and later crop estimates, prompting some producers and industry players to question the accuracy of the National Crop Estimation Committee. In response, an Emergency Crop Estimation Liaison Committee meeting was held on 17 November 2025 to assess the causes and improve the reliability of early season production estimates. The outcome signals a renewed focus on data accuracy, transparency and stronger collaboration with farmers.